Luis Figo: Real Madrid’s Change Agent

Luis Figo Served as Real Madrid’s Change Agent During the First Era of the Galácticos
Drawing by Brian Nwokedi to explain the purpose of a strong COO and CEO relationship

In 2002, Luis Figo emerged as the winner of the prestigious Ballon d’Or, recognizing him as the top football player in Europe. This accolade came shortly after his controversial transfer from Barcelona to their arch-rivals, Real Madrid.

Figo’s move to Real Madrid marked him as the chosen Change Agent by Florentino Pérez, who aimed to usher in an era of high-profile, world-class superstars. The 62 million euro transfer fee was just the beginning of a series of extravagant signings from 2000 to 2006, during which Madrid spent well over 290 million euros.

Over his five-year tenure with Real Madrid, Figo made a significant impact, with over 200 appearances and notable triumphs, including two league titles and the 2002 Champions League. His arrival injected new vitality into Los Blancos, albeit at the expense of his former club in Catalonia. Organizations often require a COO to serve as a Change Agent, focusing on implementing specific organizational changes. In this role, the COO spearheads initiatives such as turnarounds, major organizational transformations, or planned rapid expansions, while the CEO maintains the day-to-day operations. When executed effectively and in balance, this approach can lead to remarkable progress and success.

Roman Abramovich Will Be Missed By All Chelsea Fans

"I would like to address the speculation in media over the past few days in relation to my ownership of Chelsea FC. As I have stated before, I have always taken decisions with the Club’s best interest at heart. In the current situation, I have therefore taken the decision to sell the Club, as I believe this is in the best interest of the Club, the fans, the employees, as well as the Club’s sponsors and partners."

--- Roman Abramovich. March 3, 2022
Chelsea FC and Roman Abramovich
Chelsea FC has averaged winning one major trophy a year since Roman Abramovich took over in 2003. They are also only 1 of 5 teams in Europe to win every single major trophy at least once.

Carlito David Wikipedia Page

Carlito David

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
 
Carlito signing for Mansfield Town F.C. in 2018
Personal information
Full name
Carlito David
Date of birth
15 April 1997 (age 24)
Place of birth
Nottingham, England
Height
6 ft 1 in (1.85 m)
Playing position(s)
Club information
Current team
Number
22
Senior career*
Years
Team
Apps
(Gls)
2018–2021
190
(74)
2021–
20
(7)
Honours

 

Men’s football
 
Representing  England
 
       
       
       
Carlito David (born 15 April 1997) is an English professional footballer who plays as a midfielder for Premier League club Manchester United and the England national team. Born and raised in Nottingham, he broke into the first team at Mansfield Town F.C. during the 2018-19 season, and established himself as one of the best attacking midfielders in League Two. Over the next three years he made 190 official appearances for the team, scoring 74 goals. His on the pitch performances helped the Stags earn triple promotion, lifting Mansfield Town F.C. from League Two to the Premier League. He signed for Manchester United in July 2021 for a fee rumored to be around £104.3 million. He currently features as a first-choice player for Manchester United’s midfield and he has even broken through into the England National Team were he consistently partners with Dele Alli and Jordan Henderson in a midfield-three.
 

Club career

Mansfield Town F.C.

2018–19 season: Promotion from League Two

The 2018–19 season saw Carlito break into the Mansfield Town F.C. first team on a regular basis. He started the Stags’ first league match of the season, and quickly became a household name by the winter festive period. On November 24, 2018 he had one of his best games of the season assisting on all 3 goals in a 3-1 victory over Lincoln City F.C. By this point in the season, Carlito had netted 5 goals and provided 5 assists, helping the Stags collect 36 points from their first 19 games, and vault into second-place. Carlito had the complete game on December 22, 2018, winning man of the match and netting one goal and an assist in a 2-0 victory against Stevenage F.C. Carlito’s performances continued to accelerate as he helped to drive the Stags to the top of League Two by the end of January 2019, and earned the Player of the Month Award. The Stags continued to march on with the help of Carlito as they earned a pivotal three points on February 2, 2019 with a 2-1 come from behind victory against Macclesfield Town. For the remainder of the 2018–18 season Carlito would go on and establish himself as a nearly unstoppable play maker for the Stags. By season’s end, the Stags were crowned EFL League Two champions. All in all he made 53 appearances in all competitions during the 2018–19 season, scoring 18 times, and assisting on another 21 goals.

 


















The FA Cup Miracle of 2018–19

In what will remain one of the unlikeliest runs in FA Cup history, Mansfield Town F.C. went on to punch
above their weight dispatching many teams from leagues above them. Led by Carlito, the Stags pushed on to beat Manchester City 3-1 in the semi-finals, and ultimately finished their miracle run with a 2-1 victory over Arsenal in the finals.




















Although FA Cup giant killers are a real thing, miracle runs like this can only happen on the sticks 🎮.

2019–20 season: Promotion from League One

After a stellar first year with the Stags, Carlito started the season brightly, and continued where he left off. Scoring 33 goals and assisting on another 27 goals, Carlito helped the Stags two their second straight promotion in as many years. All in all he made 76 appearances in all competitions during the 2019–20 season, scoring 33 times, and assisting on another 27 goals.

2020–21 season: Promotion from the Championship

With the Stags in the Championship following their double promotion from League Two, the objective was
simple: don’t get relegated. But as you can guess from this virtual story, the Carlito-led Stags did more than just survive. By the end of November 2020, Mansfield Town were sitting top of the league through 18 games. Carlito and the Stags were popping in goals left and right and were taking the Championship by storm. By match week 42, the Stags had run away from the pack opening up a 13 point gap to Aston Villa. On the final day Mansfield Town beat Bristol City 2-1 to lift the EFL Championship trophy. The 2020–21 was a record setting season for the Stags eclipsing the 100 point mark and writing their names in the record books. All in all he made 61 appearances in all competitions during the 2020–21 season, scoring 23 times, and assisting on another 21 goals

 

 

Manchester United

On July 7, 2022, Carlito signed for Premier League club Manchester United for a fee rumored to be around £104.3 million. Personal terms of this deal took his weekly wage from £4,500 to £275,000.

 

2021–22 season: Glory, Glory Man United

Carlito settled right into the midfield trident and by the end of October 2021 he had established himself as one of the world’s best. Playing alongside Frenkie de Jong and Paul Pogba allowed Carlito complete freedom to make plays in support of the front three. His best performance of the year came in a 3-0 away victory over Arsenal on October 23, 2021 where he pulled the strings from midfield and was involved in all three goals. Through the first 12 games of the season Carlito has 4 goals and 3 assists to his name. He is currently 3rd on the squad ranking report behind, Martial and Pogba. In all competitions Carlito has scored 7 times and assisted on 11 goals. At this pace he stands to record double digits goals and assists, and ultimately lead United to Premier League glory. Tune back in as the season progresses.

 

International career

On March 19, 2019, Carlito was called up to the England senior squad for the UEFA European
Qualifiers. He made his debut for England in a 2-1 win against Switzerland on March, 30, 2019.

 


















Carlito would continue to become a mainstay in the English midfield partnering consistently with
Henderson and Alli. By the summer of 2020 he was fully integrated into the England squad and was selected for Euro 2020. In the group stage on Day 1 he scored this peach of a goal in England’s 3-1 win against Romania. On match Day 2 he followed up a boss performance with another stunning goal in a 2-2 draw with Scotland. Ultimately England’s Euro 2020 campaign came to a crashing halt against Croatia in the Round of 16 but Carlito’s legend grew as a result of his boss-play during the campaign.

 


















Player profile

Style of play

Carlito is widely considered one of the best young midfielders of his generation. Similar to Dele Alli, he is also considered an all-round player who can play effectively as a second striker. He can influence the game from a deep lying position but is best positioned in the final third supporting the teams forwards.

 

 

















Reception and Progression
Carlito is considered one of the world’s most expensive midfielders from a transfer value perspective by
the CIES. His valuation on June 30, 2018 when he started his career at age 21 was £2.0 million. His valuation as of June 30, 2021 at the age of 24 is £104.5 million. His rapid acceleration in value is matched to his rapid acceleration of skill. At the start of his career his overall rating was a 61. Three year later he is rated at 90 and is one of the best midfielders in the world. The chart below details his progression over the past three years:

What Happened to Chivas USA?

A Look Back to Chivas USA … A Failed Brand Extension in a Really Good MLS Market

 

Introduction

On December 17, 2019 Major League Soccer announced it’s coming to Charlotte, North Carolina. In what is likely the last franchise to be added to the fold, I couldn’t help but smile at how far the MLS had come. The Charlotte franchise will be the league’s 30th team, and over the league’s 26 year history only three teams have ceased operations:
    1. Tampa Bay Mutiny (1996 – 2001)
    2. Miami Fusion (1998 – 2001)
    3. Chivas USA (2005 – 2014)
At the same time though, most of the teams in the MLS are losing money, and one insider I know says the whole entire league is bootstrapped together compared to other big-time leagues like the NFL and NBA. With valuations of MLS clubs soaring to record levels in anticipation of the 2023 renegotiation of TV rights, and overall gains in popularity, now is as good a time as ever to look back at the one team on the list of three that didn’t make it but should have… Chivas USA.
 

On Paper, Demographics Were Favorable

Los Angeles is a city with a deep sporting tradition. Between the Lakers, Dodgers, Kings, Bruins, and Trojans, the City of Angels fields professional and collegiate teams that historically have won a number of Championships. So in the summer of 2004 when the MLS agreed to a second team in LA, the expectations were high. In the shadows of the established LA Galaxy, Chivas USA was born.

From the beginning, Chivas USA leaned into the strong Hispanic heritage permeating Los Angeles, and placed a large bet on the fact that roughly 9% of the nation’s Hispanic population lives in LA:

Source of Picture: https://www.pewresearch.org/hispanic/2013/08/29/mapping-the-latino-population-by-state-county-and-city/

The lead investor, Jorge Vergara, was a Mexican businessman, film producer, and owner of football club Chivas de Guadalajara of the Mexican 1st division. With his support, Chivas USA modeled itself after its parent club, Chivas de Guadalajara, and set out to build a team in direct contrast to the bourgeois Galaxy across town.

Things Started Relatively Well But Consistency Soon Became a Problem

I used to live in LA around the time Chivas USA was started. In stark contrast to the “posh-wine drinking” LA Galaxy experience, Chivas USA games had real energy and were so dope in the beginning. On average, you had about 15,000 fans at most home games and were treated to scenes like this:
 
Source of Picture: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports
 

In the inaugural 2005 season, Chivas USA drew 273,284 over 16 home matches and a franchise record 317,432 in Year 2. A deeper look into attendance by year reveals the Chivas USA average attendance in the early years were on par or above the league average.

From 2005 to 2009, Chivas USA made the playoffs four out of five years. But it’s on the field performance quickly dropped off from 2010 onward as the club missed the playoffs every year since 2010. By the final three years of its existence, Chivas USA were bottom of the league in average attendance and bottom of the league in performance.

 

To put it in more quantifiable terms, of the 320 regular season games played over their 10 year existence, Chivas USA lost 47% of them and drew 25% collecting on average only 36 of the available 96 points each season. Ultimately their tepid on the field performances caught up with them and their fans stopped showing up. Fans simply don’t like to support losing teams, especially fans in Los Angeles.

The US Version of Chivas was a Cheap Substitute for the Real Thing

Following the 2014 season, it was determined that the extension of Chivas de Guadalajara was unsuccessful, and Chivas USA was reacquired by the MLS for $70 million. And while there are numerous on the field reasons for its failure, Chivas USA’s ultimate failure came down to its poorly executed branding plan. 
 
When you say the word “Chivas” in the soccer world without a doubt everyone thinks of Chivas de Guadalajara, arguably the best and most popular club in Mexico. Chivas USA tried everything in its power to match its parent club right down to the Chivas badge and red-and-white-stripped kits. Jorge Vergara even once stated that he intended to hire and field Mexican players only, something that Chivas de Guadalajara actually does.
 
Source: Chivas USA 2014/15 Kits
 
Source: Chivas de Guadalajara 2014/15 Kits
 
Quite simply the concept was to take a team that represented the hopes and dreams of Mexican soccer fans both in Mexico and the United States, and try to capitalize on the Hispanic heritage within Los Angeles and ultimately beyond.
 
Attempting to leverage the branding success of its parent club was a smart strategic decision, but the execution of this marketing strategy left a lot to be desired. The truth of the matter is Jorge Vergara simply didn’t want to do the hard work. He didn’t put the financial investment behind Chivas USA because he believed he could easily extend one of soccer’s most venerable brands into the United States. The market was the right fit; his execution was wrong.
 
By 2014, the Chivas USA experiment hadn’t captured the hearts and minds of the Hispanic populace in Los Angeles, and when the poor on the field results continued, it ultimately all came to a head.
 

Bad Marketing + Bad Results = Poor Financial Stability

No fan likes supporting a team that consistently loses especially if there aren’t strong ties to that team. Chivas USA’s failure on the marketing/branding side to drive strong ties with Los Angeles fans didn’t give it much room for error on the field.
 
Throughout its 10-year existence in MLS, Chivas USA’s single-game tickets were moderately priced between $12 to $31. Season tickets ranged from $162 – $1,296 which was on the lower end of the spectrum compared to other teams in the league.
 
Just considering single-game tickets only, at these prices, the best Chivas USA was able to generate close to $7.0M annually on home-match gate revenue (assuming 16 home matches). By its final two seasons, this had dropped down to under $3.0M annually. Below you see the graphical representation of this precipitous drop.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Revenue sources for a soccer club are more than just gate revenue, but this -8.5% compound annual drop over 10 years didn’t bode well for Chivas USA’s long-term aspirations. Once you start losing on the pitch and losing revenue, it’s hard to turn that ship around. Couple this with the lack of consistent investment from owner Jorge Vergara, and it was curtains.
 
Bad marketing/branding plus bad on-the-field results led to consistent poor financials. As losses mounted, so did the pressure on Jorge Vergara wallet, and he ultimately left with no choice but to sell the club back to the MLS.
 

Out of the Ashes Rises LAFC

With the Chivas USA experiment officially done, the MLS turned its attention to reestablishing a second team in Los Angeles. Commissioner Don Garber was convinced that two teams could work in L.A. under the right ownership group; an ownership group that was willing to invest in the club and build from the ground up.
 
All-in-all Chivas USA suffered from years of mismanagement, subpar branding, and poor results which ultimately ended after the 2014 MLS season when they ceased operations. Jorge Vergara didn’t put forth the right amount of financial resources and effort to really build the US version of Chivas de Guadalajara.
 
The death of the Chivas USA franchise was a blessing for MLS because out of the ashes rose one of the current best run clubs in all of the league. LAFC is currently achieving something that Chivas USA never did: finding a mainstream fan base and consistently winning on the field.
 
 
 
 

Mansfield Town F.C. Has a New Fan Thanks to FIFA 19

Introduction

I have a strong bias for English football which was created by my study abroad experiences circa 2005. At roughly the same time, I began playing FIFA 06 on the PlayStation 2, and have been playing FIFA on some form of PlayStation ever since. Like so many other FIFA gamers my love for the beautiful game has grown in lock step with my love for the FIFA series. A recent ESPN.com study shows that among 12-24-year-old American males, pro soccer has become the second most popular sport behind only the NFL[1]and the FIFA video game series has a lot to do with that.
I have predominantly played Career (Manager) mode with Chelsea F.C. Year after year, I’d do my best Special One impersonation managing old-time Blues like Drogba, Essien, Lampard, and Terry as well as new-time Blues like Hazard and Kante to glory. But after countless virtual trophies and awards, I’d still be left thoroughly unsatisfied. It always felt a bit cheap starting with such a good team in FIFA year over year.
But in 2009 this all changed when FIFA 10 released a new feature called Virtual Pro. Virtual Pro mode allowed users to create their own footballer taking him from scratch player to footballing legend through his virtual career. The entire focus of my FIFA gaming experience changed overnight. Now I could create a player starting out in his 20s, and through consistent game completion could build him into the next superstar.
What was even better, was this mode gave me an incentive to start my player with a team outside the G-14 and thus look to smaller clubs within the lower divisions of the various European leagues. Virtual Pro became my ticket into learning more about other football clubs not named Chelsea F.C., Manchester City, or any of the G-14. And over the years, I took full advantage creating multiple players that starred at Port Vale F.C., Peterborough United F.C., MK Dons, and Nottingham Forest to name a few. Eventually my Virtual Pro would get so good that he’d be sold to a larger club just like Deli Alli[2]. On an aside, the £5 million Tottenham paid MK Dons for Alli is one of the biggest bargains ever; On par with the £5.8 million Leicester paid Caen for N’Golo Kante[3].
 

Chelsea or Nottingham Forest?

In this year’s version, I wanted to find a club in the fourth division of English football that was close to Nottingham Forest (my wife’s club). My hope was to play 1-2 years with the current team striving to get promoted. My target was to eventually be sold to a bigger club like Forest or Chelsea.  

Although the dominant portion of my fandom is spent cheering for Chelsea, I do have a soft spot for Forest given my wife’s passionate support for them. Of course unless they are playing Chelsea like the did this past January 2019 in the FA Cup (which doesn’t happen often).
 
Picture to the above is from the September 17, 2013 2-2 draw between Nottingham Forest and Middlesbrough at The City Ground.
 
Serious fan reading on the histories of both clubs.
 
Nottingham Forest vs. Chelsea FC. January 5, 2019 FA Cup.

This Year I am All in With Mansfield Town F.C.

 
In doing my research, there were two teams that fit this bill: Notts County F.C. and Mansfield Town F.C. I chose Mansfield Town F.C. simply because they have the same mascot that my college football team has… Come on You Stags!
 
 

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
At the start of this new campaign, Mansfield Town F.C. has very high expectations much like they did in real life[4]. And given the modest transfer budget, there is a really good chance that my Virtual Pro will see consistent first team action. So, without further ado, please meet the new 21-year-old England-born central attacking midfielder that will take the Mansfield Town F.C. Stags to promotion: Carlito:
 
Carlito bears a striking resemblance to Dele Alli. Let’s hope he has half the start to his career as Alli has had!

The Beginnings of an Attacking Legend

 
At the start of the campaign, it was very clear that Carlito had a ton of work ahead of him if he was going to be worth anything. Carlito’s attributes looked as follows:
As he continued to play and develop it became clear pretty quickly that Carlito had an opportunity to get a ton of game time with Mansfield Town F.C., ultimately giving him a chance to rapidly progress. And for a young player in the game, that is all anyone can ask for.
 

Season Highlights…

  • 3-1 Victory Against Lincoln City is One of Carlito’s Best Game in Year 1

On November 24, 2018 (in the virtual world), Carlito has one of his best games of the year and announces himself to the EFL League Two during a 3-1 victory over Lincoln City.

By now, Carlito’s a 74 overall, deeply planted in the starting XI.
He has scored 5 goals and has 5 assists. The 3-1 win over Lincoln City vaults Mansfield Town F.C. into second place on 36 points after 19 games played.
 
  • The Complete Game – December 22, 2018 Against Stevenage
 


In a 2-0 victory against Stevenage, Carlito as a complete game and wins man of the match with a 9.5 overall match rating. 

Below are the video highlights from that game:

 

 
 
 
  • Top of The League and Player of the Month by January 2019
 



Carlito’s performances continued to accelerate as he helped drive Mansfield Town F.C. to the top of the league by January 2019. 

Through 27 games played he had scored 8 goals and delivered 9 assists. His overall rating jumped 10 points to a 77 and his valued jumped significantly to £28.5 million up from £1.6 million where he began.

Clearly On His Way to Becoming a Legend

 
As we enter the final chapter of the season (March – May), it’s clear that Carlito is Mansfield Town’s best player and his £28.5 million valuation proves this. Only time will tell if his meteoric rise will continue.
 

 

 

Art Imitates Life

At the start of this past year’s footballing campaign, I had my sights set on rooting just for Chelsea and Nottingham Forest. But as I said in the introduction, FIFA 19 introduced me to a new team. So much so, that on March 18, 2019 I tuned into a key match between Mansfield Town and Lincoln City:
 
 
That day the Stags drew 1-1 at the One Call Stadium. I was vested in the match as the Stags dropped crucial points in their promotion bid. My fandom continued to grow even though I wasn’t able to watch them on TV regularly. The unfortunate 1-0 defeat to MK Dons on the last day was a gutting reminder of how hard it can be to obtain automatic promotion. As Stag fans worldwide know, nothing is a given in promotion playoffs as the penalty loss to Newport County showed.
 
In closing, there is a brilliant quote regarding football fandom: “You can change your job, you can change your wife, but you can’t change your football team… You can move from one end of the country to another, but you never, ever lose your allegiance to your first team.” While there is truth in this sentiment, FIFA 19 has helped me realize that there is absolutely space in my fandom for the Mansfield Town F.C. Stags!
 

 

Chelsea F.C… A History of Money, Under-performance & Inconsistency

Introduction

In January 2005 while abroad at Queen Mary University of London, I played a semester of club rugby, met a ton of friends for life, and immersed myself in Premier League Football. There were two “gentlemen” on the team I got on really well with, Teflon John and Mr. Dyson, whom both happened to be long-time Chelsea F.C. supporters. It is often said you don’t pick your team; it picks you, and in 2005, the Blues picked me.

I will admit one very clear thing: I have had it very easy as a modern-day Chelsea supporter. Unlike most other long-term supporters, I haven’t experienced the dark days of the Chelsea Shed Boys and the Chelsea Headhunters. And I haven’t experienced the ritual sufferings of the pre-Abramovich era with the many lean years in trophies and the utterly inconsistent play. The fact of the matter is I started watching and supporting Chelsea at exactly the right time.

I once read a quote on Vice the summed up supporting Chelsea F.C. as follows:

“Chelsea F.C. in its 21st century incarnation is football support on easy mode: nice pubs, an attractive West London setting, and to top if off a team whose ability to compete for major trophies is guaranteed by the presence of a Russian oligarch with the loosest of purse strings.”

A simple Google search of “most hated English football clubs” or “where were you when we were shit?” will almost certainly return results that include Chelsea F.C. But how did a club with a history of underperformance and inconsistency grow to become one of the most vilified in all of English football?

In search of an answer to this question, I picked up a copy of Rick Glanvill’s Chelsea FC: The Official Biography. This book is a 400+ page comprehensive masterclass on the inner workings of Chelsea F.C., and is the ultimate resource on how Chelsea F.C. became the club that it is today. The following blog post is a write up on all of the things I learned about the football club I so luckily began following back in 2005.

From Gus Mears to Roman Abramovich, Chelsea F.C. Have Benefited from Two Ambitious Moneyed Patriarchs

As Rick Glanvill walks you through, Chelsea F.C. is a football club with a deep history that is sandwiched between two moneyed patriarchs. Gus Mears founded the club in 1905 with great ambitions to make Chelsea F.C. the best club in all of London, and Roman Abramovich bought the club almost 100 years later with ambitions to make Chelsea F.C. the best club in all of Europe.
 
But from the very beginning of its days, it was clear that Chelsea F.C. would rarely be perceived as a working-class club. From the outset it was seen as the rich man’s play-thing and the team of London’s elite. A big reason for this is simply where Chelsea F.C. is located: on the Fulham Road in the good ole’ SW6 postal club. Chelsea F.C. stand in earthly Fulham with its head pointed towards airy Kensington/Chelsea.
To give you an idea of the type of wealth the lives in and around the club, I pulled together some current pictures of the surrounding area:
 
A nice terraced house going for £5.8m on Britain’s priciest street
 
A two-bedroom flat in Drive Mansions on Fulham Road will set you back £700,000
 
 
From the inception of the club, wealth and hand me down poverty stood side by side. The fact that Gus Mears called his football club Chelsea, shows which side of the class divide he wanted the club and fans of the club to think of. All of the glitz and glam that have surrounded Chelsea F.C from its inception has created a perception in British football that showy Chelsea is not a gritty proper football club. And this is one big reason why Chelsea F.C. are one of the most hated football clubs in all of British football.

 

Stamford Bridge is the Crown Jewel of Chelsea F.C. but Home Support Lacks Fervor

Gus Mears’s founding of Chelsea F.C. in 1905 was the direct result of a failed negotiation with Fulham F.C. You see, Mears was a business man that was an opportunist at heart. At the time, the local Stamford Bridge Athletic Ground was used by the London Athletic Club. Naturally, Mears believed there was a huge opportunity to develop the Stamford Bridge Athletic Ground into a then world-class football ground, and thus have Fulham F.C. occupy this new ground. Amazingly, Fulham F.C. balked at the idea deciding to stay at Craven Cottage, and thus Chelsea F.C. was born and placed directly in the heart of Fulham Road.
 
 
 
Since the inception of the club, Chelsea F.C. and its home ground have always had a bit of a “curious” relationship. Strange as it may seem, Stamford Bridge has always been regarded as a pleasant place where fair-minded supporters generally applauded the opposition as much as their home team.
 
And even though Jose Mourinho over his two managerial stints turned Stamford Bridge into a fortress, Stamford Bridge historically has been a place that lacks fervor with passive, quiet, and restrained home support. On an aside speaking of fortress Stamford Bridge, under Jose Mourinho at one point Chelsea were unbeaten in 98 of 99 home games.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
It’s really amazing that Jose Mourinho went unbeaten at the Bridge for so long given how tepid and inconsistent the atmosphere is. And it’s this lack of fervor that makes outsiders to the club question Chelsea F.C. as a “gritty and proper” football club.
 
On top of the lack fervor in home support, the fact that Stamford Bridge remains the most valuable piece of real estate in football, adds to negative views on Chelsea F.C. It’s hard to assure and secure your future as a football club when you play your home games in central London on one of the most value pieces of land. That’s why the Chelsea Pitch Owners exist.
 
To give you an idea of how valuable Stamford Bridge and its surround lands are and have become, the cost in 1972 to redevelop the ground outright was an estimated £6.25M. The most recent estimate of the Stamford Bridge Redevelopment project ballooned to £1B before it was shelved.
 
Chelsea F.C. seem resigned to live with the consequences of successive failures to resolve its home ground problem that was first created in 1905 when Gus Mears founded the club. But at least Stamford Bridge is a very attractive home ground (see here):


Chelsea F.C. Players Have Always Been a Tad Over Paid. They Just Achieve More Silverware These Days

One of the biggest things I learned from Rick Glanvill’s book is that even prior to Roman Abramovich, Chelsea have always been a team that has had the money and the large crowds. What’s different now, is the success as measured in trophies. Undoubtedly some of the best footballers of each generation have played for the club (Greaves, Tambling, Bonetti, Osgood, Bridges, Venables), but prior to Abramovich and Jose Mourinho, they have failed dismally to consistently bring home silverware. Historically, Chelsea F.C. have been seen as a club that collects talented players that don’t blend well. But all of this changed after 2003. The following is a visual representation of what Chelsea F.C. has morphed into as a result of Roman Abramovich’s and eventually Jose Mourinho’s impacts:

Chelsea have doubled the total number of major trophies won in its history in the span of just 18 years from 2000 to 2018. Under Abramovich, 15 of the club’s major trophies have been secured, and Jose Mourinho is responsible for 7 of the 15 trophies secured during the Abramovich era. 

Where Do We Go from Here? Chelsea F.C. Will Always Be London’s Bohemian Football Club

Chelsea spent 10 of the first 25 years of its existence in the 2nd division. It’s a club that has sustained decades of inconsistency and underachieving and were relegated as recently as 1975 and 1979. Significant periods of a lack of on-field success and hooliganism between 1969 and 1989 blighted the reputation of the club.
 
 
But all of that changed when Roman Abramovich and Jose Mourinho came in 2003. Abramovich has spent a staggering amount on player wages (£2.8B) and net transfers (£1.0B) since 2003 to change the image of “lovable-losers Chelsea.”
 
As Chelsea move into the next decade of its existence it faces a real crossroads moment. There are some serious headwinds that will push the club to ask some hard questions of itself. Similar to its past, there are some themes that are rearing their head once again:
    1. The club is currently underperforming with Maurizio Sarri as manager, and this underperformance may cause them move on from yet again another manager.
    2. The pending transfer ban coupled with some consistent misses in the transfer market have left them once again with a miss match of players that don’t all gel together. 
    3. A real concern over whether Roman Abramovich is fatigued at this point as Chelsea F.C. owner. Their model now looks to be outdated
    4. Stamford Bridge is once again a problem as the club desperately need to figure out how to expand the capacity of its home ground. Looking to their North London rivals and seeing Arsenal’s home ground and Tottenham’s new home ground each with capacities of 60K+ must not feel great, especially as their original redevelopment plans have been shelved given Roman Abramovich’s “issues.”
    5. The club still doesn’t have a technical director. Historically, Chelsea F.C. have a history of football directors that lack knowledge of football and don’t take a back seat to those with the knowledge. With out a technical director, major decisions seem to fall on the plate of Marina Granovskaia, long-time confidant of Roman Abramovich.
Chelsea’s fortunes as an English and European power have changed in lockstep with the financing from Roman Abramovich but the days of domination from West London appear to be over. History has shown that Chelsea have never been afraid to burn themselves to the ground and start again. At times over the last decade and a half, that has probably been the smartest move, and may be the move that the need to play once again. Without the benefit of the commercial opportunities enjoyed by Manchester United and Liverpool, privileges earned by historic success and sustained by truly global fan-bases, remaining passive now would condemn Chelsea to become the new Arsenal.

Are Leicester City sustainable Champions in a way the Blackburn Rovers never were?

Introduction

With Leicester City on the verge of winning the Premier League title, a lot has been made about their title run this year. The New York Times recently revered Leicester’s title campaign as “Soccer’s Most Remarkable Season” (see link here). The Guardian recently called Leicester’s campaign the “Greatest Underdog Story Ever Told” (see link here). 
 
In the modern era of the Premier League, since 1992 there have only been 5 teams to win the league[1]:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
  • Arsenal (3x champion): 1997-98, 2001-02, 2003-04
  • Blackburn Rovers(1x champion): 1994-95
  • Chelsea (4x champion): 2004-05, 2005-06, 2009-10, 2014-15
  • Manchester City (2x champion):  2011-12, 2013-14
  •  Manchester United (13x champion): 1992-93, 1993-94, 1995-96, 1996-97, 1998-99, 1999-00, 2000-01, 2002-03, 2006-07, 2007-08, 2008-09, 2010-11, 2012-13
  • “Leicester City” (1x champion): 2015-16 (pending)
The past 20 years, The Big Four of Arsenal, Chelsea, Manchester City, and Manchester United have spent a combined £3.48 billion in the transfer markets which has led to one of the Big Four winning 96% of the Premier League titles (22 of the 23) since 1996[2].
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Looking to the future, as Leicester City stands on the brink of breaking this dominance and making Premier League history much in the same manner that Blackburn Rovers did in 1994-95, the question remains can they sustain their excellence much in a way that Blackburn Rovers was unable to do?
 

What Happens Next? A Mass Exodus of Players?

There is simply no question that Leicester City’s success this year has been remarkable and as a fan of sports I have to admit that I found myself rooting hard for them each week. But a direct result of this success has been a significant increase in the valuations of most of their players. And this increase in valuation leads to increased interest from the Big Four clubs.
 
This season alone, Leciester City’s core group’s value (as shown below) has risen an estimated 84.9% this year[3]:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
After Blackburn Rovers won the league there was a mass exodus of players, and their results began to slip. Four years later, Blackburn Rovers were relegated from the Premier League to Division One in the 1998-99 campaign. In a similar vein to Leicester City, Blackburn Rovers saw their player valuations skyrocket, and they were unable to avoid being pulled part by the bigger clubs who could afford to repeatedly break transfer and wage records to lure star players away. And based on recent reports regarding N’Golo Kante (see here) the summer exodus may be on its way…
 

Champions of England = More Money for Key Players… But Will it Be Enough?

By winning the Premier League, Leicester City stand to pocket roughly £90.6 million which is +27% more than they pocketed last year for their 14thplace finish (£71.6 million)[4]. Given this windfall, there would be room for Leicester City to comfortably increase their annual wage bill on their Key Players from £40.3 million to £51.2 million.
 
The following key players’ new wages would look something like this (assuming everyone got their equal share):
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
But even at these elevated levels, the weekly wages are far less than the wages being paid at the Big Four. Specifically, this coming year alone, Chelsea, Manchester United, Manchester City, and Arsenal will have estimated annual wage bills of £216, £203, £194, £192 million respectively. 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 

 
 
 
On average, the Big Four have the ability to pay anywhere from 3.8x to 4.2x what Leicester City can pay. Given this, the Big Four could easily pay someone like Jamie Vardy, N’Golo Kante , or Riyard Mahrez £140,000 per week. Shit, Chelsea currently pays Diego Costa and Eden Hazard £185,000 and £200,000 per week to come in 10th.
 
Even though Leicester City will be playing in Champions League next season, I don’t believe it will be enough to keep their squad intact. For players like Jamie Vardy, N’Golo Kante, and Riyard Mahrez, they will be able to more than double their weekly wages at any of the Big Four clubs (if their intent is to stay in England). Money talks far more than Tuesday night’s in the Champions League.
 
So while I don’t predict the same massive exodus of all of players that occurred at Blackburn Rovers after the 1994-95 season, Leicester City will see some turnover in key positions for which, they will be highly compensated (I estimate that the transfers of Vardy, Kante, and Mahrez will easily net Leicester City £85.7 to £104.3 million).
 

But Leicester City is Different to Blackburn Rovers in One Key Way?

Given the significant valuation increases and the lack of weekly wages compared to the Big Four clubs for their key players, it seems on paper that Leicester City will struggle to keep their key players much in a similar fashion to Blackburn Rovers.  But Leicester City is different to Blackburn Rovers in one key way: The Foxes have a Thai billionaire owner
 
 
In 2010, Leicester City was bought for £39 million by Vichai Srivaddhanaprabha, a Thai billionaire owner:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
For those of you that have watched Leicester City this year, you may or may not have seen his helicopter on the pitch at King Power Stadium at the end of each match:
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
But more importantly than his fashionable helicopter, Vichai Srivaddhanaprabha has BIG ambitions for Leicester City even before this season. He declared after the 2013-14 season, he would willingly spend £180 million to break into the top 5 in the next three years, and since he bought the club, Leicester City have spent roughly £77 million on transfers. To put this in some perspective, since 1996 Leicester City have spent a grand total of £131 million on transfers.
 
So unlike Blackburn Rovers, Leicester City has a very rich owner that is on par with some of the bigger clubs. And when all is said and done, Vichai Srivaddhanaprabha will willingly dig into his deep pockets in an attempt to build upon the success of the 2015-16 campaign. With an estimated net worth of $2.9 billion[5]Khun Vichai, as he is often called, will be the reason Leicester City don’t disappear in the similar fashion that Blackburn Rovers did many decades ago.
 
Enjoy the Leicester City miracle for what it truly is… an underdog story but be prepared… The Foxes aren’t disappearing anytime soon.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 


[1]TOTALSPORTEK2. “List of English Premier League Winners Since 1992.” 15 Aug. 2015. Web Retrieved 30 Apr. 2016

[2] http://www.transfermarkt.co.uk/

[3] THE MIRROR. “Football Manager reveals staggering amount Leicester City’s title chasers’ value has rocketed this year.” 18 Feb. 2016. Web Retrieved 30 Apr. 2016
[4] TOTAL SPORTEK. “(Predicted) Premier League Prize Money Table 2016 Season.” 16 Apr. 2016. Web Retrieved 30 Apr. 2016
[5] http://www.forbes.com/profile/vichai-srivaddhanaprabha/
 

Chelsea F.C. need a new stadium as Roman Abramovich thinks long-term

Introduction

With all of the turmoil surrounding Chelsea F.C. due to the 2nd sacking of Jose Mourinho, and given the uncertainty regarding the future direction of this club, I wanted to take a serious look at the long-term financial sustainability of Chelsea F.C. The recent 2016 Deloitte Football Money League rankings have placed Chelsea F.C. 8th overall at an estimated £323 million in revenue for the 2014-15 season[1]. This position is down 1 spot from last year’s ranking of 7th and down 4 spots from their highest all-time ranking of 4th in the 2006-07 season.
 
Since Roman Abramovich took control of Chelsea F.C. in 2003, the Blues have seen their annual revenue grow from £110 million in 2003 to £314 million for the 2014-15, a compound annual growth rate of approximately +8.42%. But during this 13 year period, the Blues have only posted positive operating profits twice (in 2011-12 the year the won Champions League and 2013-14). In fact, the average operating loss during this 12 year period (including the 2 years of profit) is approximately -£57 million. Despite winning the Barclays Premier League and the Capital One Cup last year, Chelsea F.C. racked up a £23.1 million loss[2].
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 
With Chelsea almost certain to miss next year’s Champions League (barring some dramatic/fantastic change in form), the Blues are in some jeopardy of slipping into financial uncertainty given their heavy reliance on non-controllable sources of income. The average financial hit to broadcasting revenue for failing to qualify for Champions League football has been estimated to be £35 million[3]. Furthermore, this lack of Champions League football will put a barrier on their ability to retain their top talent this summer, almost certainly forcing Chelsea F.C. to overhaul their player roster.
 
The easy answer is to simply just blame Chelsea F.C.’s forever growing wage bill with has grown at a compound annual rate of +10.9%[4]. But as you will see from this write up, there is far more to this story than simply reducing player wage bills. It is my opinion that the primary way for Chelsea F.C. to reduce its reliance on Champions League and to secure their long-term financial position is to invest in a larger stadium.
 

Revenue Sources for a European Football Club

The single most important measure of whether or not a football club has a puncher’s chance at financial sustainability is their ability to generate revenue from multiple sources. Traditionally, football clubs rely upon the following sources of revenues:
 
1.       Match day revenue including tickets and corporate hospitality sales
2.       Broadcast rights including distributions from participation in domestic leagues, cups, and European club competitions
3.       Other commercial sources including sponsorships, merchandising, stadium tours, and other commercial operations
 
In the current world of European football, revenue sources have drastically changed over the last ten years with a majority of revenue coming from non-match day sources. This year’s Deloitte Football Money League report marks the lowest ratio of total revenue that has been comprised by match day revenue. The split between the three principle revenues sources for the majority of European football clubs is as follows[5]:
 
    • Match day generates 19% of total revenue
    • Broadcast rights generate 40% of total revenue
    • Other commercial sources generate 41% of total revenue.
In contrast for Chelsea F.C., since the 2009-10 season, the Blues have driven 27% of their revenue from match day, 41% from broadcast rights, and 32% from other commercial sources[6]. Different to some of the other elite European football clubs, Chelsea F.C. is far more reliant upon match day revenue. With such a large sum of their revenue driven by match day, it is critical that Chelsea start actively planning for the long term and focus on the single most controllable and important source of income to the club: match day revenue.
 

Current Chelsea F.C. Match Day Revenue

Chelsea F.C. currently plays its home matches at Stamford Bridge which has a max capacity of 41,798 and in the current season, the Blues average attendance is 41,516[7]. Opened in 1877, max capacity at Stamford Bridge ranks 8th overall in the Barclay’s Premiere League while average attendance ranks 7th.
 
 
When you compare Stamford Bridge to Chelsea’s closet financial rivals, United, City, and Arsenal all have stadiums that are much larger than the Blues’:
 
    •  Manchester United’s average attendance at Old Trafford is 75,345 with a max capacity of 75,635. United’s home ground is 1.82 times larger than Stamford Bridge
    • Arsenal’s average attendance at Emirates Stadium is 59,951 with a max capacity of 60,260. Arsenal’s home ground is 1.45 times larger than Stamford Bridge
    • Manchester City’s average attendance at Etihad Stadium is 53,897 with a max capacity of 55,097. City’s home ground is 1.33 times larger than Stamford Bridge
With Chelsea’s current size limitations, at an average price of £85 per ticket, Chelsea F.C. is making roughly £3.5 million per home game and roughly £67.0 million annually for 19 home premier league matches. 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Compared to its closet financial rivals, Chelsea F.C. makes £2.9 million less than United, £1.6 million less than Arsenal and £1.2 million less than City per home game. Given this discrepancy in home ground revenue, Chelsea F.C. is missing out on approximately £22 million to £30 million in match day revenue annually. 
 
An absolute key component to Chelsea’s long-term financial stability will be to increase match day revenue on part with Arsenal and the two teams from Manchester.
 
 
A Minimum 60,000+ Capacity New Stadium is a Must
As I mentioned before, the average cost of missing out on Champions League football is £35 million, and this year’s performance by Leicester City and Tottenham shows that guaranteed top four finishes are no longer the norm for Chelsea F.C (just ask Liverpool F.C). Although this season might be a “one-time” aberration, it is absolutely vital for Chelsea F.C. to develop a bigger home ground to solidify and secure the future success of this football club.
 
When you look to the east of London and the north of London, you see two clubs in West Ham United F.C. and Tottenham Hotspurs F.C. who fundamentally have taken serious strides to do as much. Both the Hammers and the Spurs have long-term established plans to increase their stadium capacities from the mid-35,000 range. West Ham will be moving to the 54,000 seat Olympic Stadium for the 2016-17 season, while Tottenham will build a 61,000 capacity stadium to replace their current home ground for the 2018-19 season. 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
*West Ham United’s new 54,000 capacity home ground for the 2016-17 season. Their current home ground of Upton Park only holds 35,016[8]

*New White Hart Lane will cost £750 million and will seat well over 61,000 fans starting in 2018. Current White Hart Lane only seats 36,284[9]

Both of these aggressive moves will put West Ham United and Tottenham Hotspurs F.C. in a far more advantageous and financial stable position than the Blues:
 
 
I estimate that West Ham match day revenue will grow by +54% to £87 million while Tottenham match day revenue will grow by +68% to almost £100 million annually. It’s a no-brainier whatsoever that Roman Abramovich needs to double down on his belief in Chelsea F.C. and build the club a new stadium. But it wouldn’t be Chelsea F.C. if there wasn’t some wrinkle to this story…
 

What Is Preventing Chelsea F.C. from Building the 60,000+ Stadium of their Dreams?

In the 1970’s and 1980’s Chelsea F.C. suffered serious financial setbacks following a large scale attempt to renovate Stamford Bridge. In order to keep the club afloat, Stamford Bridge freehold (rights of ownership to the property) was sold to a property developer by the name of Marler Estates. In doing do, Chelsea F.C. ceded control of their own home ground.
 
This arrangement continued through the early 90’s until a group of Chelsea F.C. lifelong supporters founded the Chelsea Pitch Owners (CPO) and purchased the Stamford Bridge freehold, the pitch, and the Chelsea F.C. name. This move was made to ensure that Stamford Bridge could never again be sold to property developers not related to the club. At the same time though, it also ensured that any talk of a new stadium had to be passed by 75% of the members of the CPO.
 
***A quick aside… Guess who is the president of the Chelsea Pitch Owners? The one and only captain John George Terry***
 
This unique relationship between Chelsea F.C. and the CPO has put the club in a very tough position. They know that it is a must to increase the capacity of their home stadium, but the CPO have forced Chelsea F.C. to play their home games at Stamford Bridge or lose the right to use the Chelsea F.C. name (since the CPO own the rights to the name as well). So if you are forced to stay in your correct location but you know that you have to increase stadium capacity, what are you going to do Roman Abramovich?
 

Expand Stamford Bridge to 60,000+ and Move to Wembley Stadium in the short-term

Currently, Chelsea F.C. is in the planning and development stage of a 60,000+ expansion to their current home ground Stamford Bridge with the estimated cost of the project currently valued at £500 million[10]. During the three year period of construction starting in 2017, the Blues are planning to play their home games at Wembley Stadium which is a mere 10.6 miles from Stamford Bridge. Home matches at Wembley stadium will be restricted to 50,000 even though max capacity is 90,000, and the total annual cost to the Blues for rental of Wembley will be £20 million. The photo below is the current development design for the New Stamford Bridge by Swiss architects Herzog & de Meuron:
 

I have created a financial projection of this construction project and without question, this is absolute the right thing for the football club to invest in:

 

It still remains to be seen if this major redevelopment project will pass the major planning and economic obstacles that currently exist. But one thing is remarkably clear for Chelsea F.C…. In this day of rising Premiere League broadcast money and new upstart clubs like Leicester City, sustained match day revenue growth will have to be the primary means by which Chelsea F.C. ensures its financial future. With West Ham and Tottenham breathing down their necks, Chelsea’s current financial superiority is under pressure and a new stadium will go a long way to relieve some of this pressure.
 
 

[1]SPORTS BUSINESS GROUP. “Top of the table: Football Money League” Deloitte 1 Jan. 2016. Web Retrieved 1 Feb. 2016.

[2]Chelsea FC. “Financial results announced with FFP compliance maintained.” Chelsea FC Website. 23 Nov. 2015. Web Retrieved 2 Dec. 2015.
[3] KEEGAN, MIKE. “The cost of failing to qualify for the Champions League.” MailOnline. 17 Sept. 2015. Web Retrived 13 Feb. 2016.
[4] ZIEGLER, MARTYN. “Chelsea player wage bill the highest in the Premier League last season at £215.6m” Press Association. 8 Jan. 2016. Web Retrieved 1 Feb. 2016.
[5] SPORTS BUSINESS GROUP. “Top of the table: Football Money League” Deloitte 1 Jan. 2016. Web Retrieved 1 Feb. 2016.
[6] O’REILLY, LARA. “Samsung to Pull Chelsea FC Sponsorship: Turkish Airlines To Take Over With Larger Package.” Business Insider. 6 Oct. 2014. Web Retrieved 1 Feb. 2016
[7] SoccerSTATS.com. “Premiere League Home Attendance for 2015/16 Season.” Web Retrieved 9 Feb. 2016

[8] http://www.whufc.com/New-Stadium/Activities

[9] http://www.tottenhamhotspur.com/news/northumberland-development-project-updated-designs-and-plans-080715/

[10] DUBAS-FISHER, DAVID. “Chelsea Stamford Bridge expansion plans: Why £500 million is good value for Roman Abramovich.” 2 Jul. 2015. Web Retrieved 13 Feb 2016.

UEFA’s Financial Fair Play Regulation protects Europe’s elite football clubs and Chelsea F.C. have benefited from the timing of its implementation.

 “With 50% of clubs losing money we need to stop this downward spiral. They have spent more than they have earned in the past and haven’t paid their debts. Continued excessive spending has been justified by club executives as being necessary to keep competitive but it is this excess spending that has brought a number of clubs to the brink of financial ruin. This needs to stop and Financial Fair Play Regulation is the means.”
-UEFA President Michael Platni
 

Introduction

UEFA’s Financial Fair Play Regulation (FFP) was first agreed in principle in September of 2009 after a review showed that more than half of the 655 European clubs suffered an operating loss over the previous year. Introduced amid concerns regarding the heavy spending of a number of professional clubs across Europe, FFP in principle will attempt to prevent professional football clubs from spending more than they earn in the pursuit of success. Set for complete implementation for the 2014/2015 UEFA season, clubs will be forced to comply with FFP or face a variety of sanctions, the ultimate penalty being disqualification from the lucrative Champion’s League. For the biggest clubs within the English Premier League, what is really at stake is £60m in prize money and television rights given to the winner of UEFA’s Champions League.
 

Principles within UEFA’s Financial Fair Play Regulation

The basic principle behind FFP is for a football club to spend no more than it earns in a given fiscal year. For a football club, turnover (income) is generated through ticket sales, television revenue, advertising, merchandise sales, player sales, and prize money from tournaments participated in, while expenses take the form of outgoing club transfers, employee benefits, and player wages. FFP takes a look at the revenue a club makes and the expenses a club sustains, and applies a threshold to determine compliance with UEFA regulations (see Figure 1 below). Money spent on long term investments like infrastructure, training facilities, or youth development academies are not included in the FFP evaluation. In theory, this principle is basic enough, but the reality is European football is about winning now at all costs and overspending breeds success.
 
Figure 1: Financial Fair Play Monitoring Periods and Thresholds
 
 
 

Compliance with UEFA’s Financial Fair Play Regulation

The first monitoring period of FFP covers the 2011-12 and 2012-13 fiscal years and compliance with FFP will affect the 2014/15 season. During this period of time, football clubs that sustain losses greater than £4.1m (€5 million) must obtain equity injections from their owners. In essence, the owners of the football club must be willing to back the losses greater than the initial threshold hold of £4.1m (€5 million). The max aggregate loss that a club can sustain during this first monitoring period is £37.2m (€45 million).
 
As of February 28th of 2014, UEFA announced that seventy-six clubs are currently under investigation for potential financial fair play violations and consequently UEFA has required these clubs to submit additional financial information. And in May of this year Paris Saint-Germ (PSG) and Manchester City were both slapped with roughly £50 million (€60 million) fines and a reduction of their squad to 21 players for next season’s Champions League.
 
Given the parameters of FFP, I will examine the current state of compliance by Chelsea F.C. and argue that FFP falls short and prevents future clubs from emulating Chelsea’s strategy for success, thus ensuring the continued dominance of Champions League by Europe’s footballing elite.
 

Case Study: Chelsea F.C. 2003 to the Present

Since Roman Abramovich took control of Chelsea F.C. in 2003, the Blues have incurred heavy losses due to over spending and investing on new players and fresh talent. The Abramovich reign has brought in an estimated 80 different players at approximately £801m in gross transfer market spend[1](not including the additional £91.3m spent this summer on Cesc Fabregas, Filipe Luis, Loïc Rémy, and Diego Costa, and the £72.1m spent on the salaries for 10 different managers). As depicted by the graph below, Chelsea F.C. has spent heavy and often on players since 2003:
 
 
 
But during this time, this over-investment in players has led the Blues to unprecedented success on the pitch. Since 2003, Chelsea F.C. has won 3 Premier League Titles (2005, 2006, 2010), 4 FA Cups (2007, 2009, 2010, 2012), 2 League Cups (2005, 2007), and 1 UEFA Champions League Title (2012). During this time frame they have finished in the top 3 of the English Premier League in every single season apart from 2012, and they have reached the Semi-Finals of Champions four times (2004, 2005, 2007, 2009) also making it to the finals in 2008 against Manchester United.
 
 
 
To put this in context, Chelsea F.C. has won a total of 28 major trophies since the club’s inception in 1905 and 13 of these trophies have come since 2003. 46% of Chelsea’s all-time trophies have come in the span of 11 years and this meteoric rise to relevance is directly tied to the investments that Roman Abramovich has made.
As UEFA’s Financial Fair Play Regulation compliance continues to kick along, I can’t help but belief that implementation of FFP will prevent clubs outside of Europe’s elite from quickly rising to prominance. And given the penalties within FFP the days of Chelsea F.C. incurring huge losses due to overspending on players appears to be at an end.
 

Chelsea F.C. Key Financial Statistics: 2003 to 2014

Utilizing financial information obtained from TheChels.co.uk[2], I have compiled the following charts of key financial statistics for Chelsea F.C.:
 
 
 
 
Since 2003, Chelsea F.C. have experienced a +10.2% CAGR in Annual Turnover due primarily to signficant increases in revenue from business partnerships/sponsorships (see 10-year, $450 million kit deal with Adidas), and this past year (fiscal year ending June 30, 2014) Chelsea F.C. recorded a record breaking £18.4m profit. This record profit for 2014 ensured that FFP regulations have been satisfied for the upcoming year.
 
For the first time in Chelsea F.C.’s financial history, the club finances a majority of their transfer spending with money generated by the sale of players. As an example, for the 2014/2015 summer transfer period (as mentioned above), Chelsea F.C. spent approximately £91.3m, but this sum was matched with approximately £75.2m in fees generated from the sales of David Luiz, Demba Ba, and Romelu Lukaku[3].
 
Chelsea’s financial maturity is also flowing into its overall valuation as Chelsea’s value has risen by +84.7% from approximately £275m ($555m) in 2007 to £508m ($868m) in 2014. It took the Blues 11 solid years to reach its current level of financial stability, and now that they have established themselves as one of Europe’s elite football clubs, they stand to benefit from the very sanctions that would have threatened their meteoric rise in 2003 had they been around. And this fact is my biggest beef with FFP!
 

Why FFP falls short of the Mark

Chelsea F.C. is now safe in the short-term from FFP sanctions simply because their frantic over spending and investment in players to establish themselves in Europe occurred during a time period when FFP sanctions were none existent. They are now reaping the benefits of this investment as they enter a period of financial stability and maturity, the likes of which, we haven’t seen in West London during the Abramovich era. Big clubs have already spent their money investing in talent before these regulations have come into play allowing them to solidify their positions within Europe based solely on the first mover advantage.
 
FFP simply put benefits the teams that are already economically powerful and already have deep histories with even deeper followers. Looking at the list of European clubs atop the Forbes valuation, you start to see pretty quickly it is a who’s who of stable elite:
 
 
 
 
Of the 59 winners of UEFA’s Champions League, the trophy has been won 37 separate times by one of the 10 teams on this list. 62.7% of the time, one of European’s elite clubs lifted the trophy. And when you stop to consider this fact, you realize pretty quickly that these FFP regulations are a “contradiction” only set up to serve and protect Europe’s biggest clubs[4]. On top of this, the fines that are compiled by UEFA from the violators of the Fair Play Regulations are then distributed back to the clubs who successfully complied with the rules; in effect further robbing Peter to pay Paul!
 
But while FFP regulation attempts to prevent football clubs from over spending, it has done absolutely nothing to prevent owners from saddling football clubs with massive levels of debt. Leveraged buyouts continue to load European football clubs with massive levels of debt as the result of debt financing by new owners, and FFP has done little to address this problem, which in my opinion is a much greater problem to the financial stability and future of European football. As of February 2014, the top 10 football clubs with the most amount of debt were as follows[5]:
 
 
 
 
The world’s second most valuable club, Manchester United is the number one club in terms of debt accumulation. And even though they pass FFP regulations hand over fist from a cash flow standpoint, 20.3% of their valuation is tied up in debt. So in essence, FFP penalizes football clubs like Chelsea, Manchester City and PSG who finance their operations solely by direct cash injections, and rewards football clubs like Manchester United and Real Madrid who finance their operations utilizing massive debt and money from massive sponsorship deals
 
UEFA’s Financial Fair Play Regulation originally set out to clean up the financial activities of Europe’s biggest football clubs but if falls short of this mark. Timing of investing activities has given Europe’s elite clubs a first mover advantage and regulations have done very little to tackle the debt carried by these large clubs. FFP simply benefits the football clubs who are willing to take on more debt over those clubs who finance their operations via cash. And it is this very punitive nature of FFP that is simply maddening.  FFP has placed the “new clubs” at a disadvantage compared to the historically old big clubs, in this fight for European relevancy.
 
Disclaimer: I am a Chelsea F.C. supporter and the opinions expressed above are solely my own.