My Financial Habit: Homemade Clean Juices and Green Smoothies

Purpose of this article: (1) to show the average retail markup on Green Smoothies and Clean Juices, (2) a solution to save money by making these items at home, and (3) the financial decision making concept of payback period.

Overview

About a year and a half ago I go a NutriBullet PRO, and like most gifts like this, I planned to make the “most out of it”. Unfortunately much like my Latte Habit, I continued to buy store made smoothies from the variety of shops we have here in Charlotte.

Fast forward to 2020, and the resulting shutdown due to COVID-19, and store bought smoothies suddenly became obsolete. Life has a funny way of sometimes making and/or forcing you to appreciate the things you have. And the global pandemic did exactly that for my NutriBullet PRO.

Since pretty much the start of lockdown in March of 2020, my wife and I have adopted a daily Green Smoothie habit; brought to us by none other than the same NutriBullet PRO that originally sat in the kitchen pantry gathering dust. What started as a simple trial has now blossomed into a daily enterprise of good health decisions: (1) a daily green smoothie from our NutriBullet followed by (2) a clean juice from our Aicok Juicer:

The following is my attempt to calculate the financial benefits that have accrued to us as a result of switching to home made green smoothies and clean juice.

Estimated Cost of a Homemade Green Smoothie & Juice

Our two go-to recipes for green smoothies and clean juice are as follows:

Using the menu of one of my favorite smoothie and juice establishments here in Charlotte I get an average retail price of $6.75 and $8.25 for smoothies and juices respectively. This represents a markup of +176% to $253% on average!!!

Use the Concept of Payback Period to Evaluate

When deciding whether or not to buy a new machine for our house, analyzing the payback period can be an effective financial decision making tool. Most of the time when considering such investments or purchase decisions, the time value of money should be applied to your analysis. This simply means that you should consider the fact that your money today is worth more than that same sum of money in the future due to the fact that your money today can earn interest or a return.

Sometimes though when the investment decision is simple and involves relatively smaller sums of money, analysis of the payback period can be a suitable alternative. The payback period is the amount of time it takes you to recover the initial cost of an investment or purchase. You calculate this by dividing the amount of the original investment by the annual cash flow or net benefit (in the case of my green smoothie/juice machines) derived from the investment.

Using the concept of payback period, lets analyze my Green Smoothie and Juice Machines:

Besides the obvious health benefits of our daily Green Smoothie and Clean Juice habit, the financial implications are immense. After investing in a NutriBullet Pro, it will take roughly 21 days of Green Smoothies to payback the cost of the machine.

By contrast yet still positive, after investing in an Aicok Juicer, it will take roughly 47 days of Clean Juices to payback the cost of the machine.

There is just no denying how value add both machines have been to our lives both from a health standpoint and a financial standpoint. It’s a no brainer given how quickly both machines payback the original cost when compared to purchasing these items at retail stores.

After 21 days of consistent use this bad boy pays for itself.
Targeting 47 days of use to recoup our cost.

Recorded Audio Session

Below are some select recordings and snippets from this website in one place. I also have listed some of my favorite podcasts. Brew a cup of coffee, sit back, and ENJOY! If you like the posts on this page, consider supporting my efforts with a cup of coffee or a donut ☕🍩.

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My Fab Favorite Podcasts

Hidden Brain

The Art of Happiness With Arthur Brooks

Invest Like the Best

Revisionist History

Philosophize This!

Animal Spirits

Appearances

Do You Know Your Data?

Economics

Doughnut Economics
Nudge: Improving Decisions About Health, Wealth, and Happiness
Capital in the Twenty-First Century
Shoe Dog

Investing

Active Investing to Beat The Market is Inconsistent
The Golden Butterfly Portfolio
The Money Game

Personal Finances

Get Debt Free Fast with the 2% Rule
Build an Emergency Fund to Protect Yourself During Unexpected Life Events
Your Credit Score… Three Digits Can Mean A Whole Lot
Start Repairing Your Credit Today
Term Life Insurance is a Must Have

Psychology, The Brain, & Self

In Pursuit of the Growth-Mindset
The Female Brain
Is it Actually All Written in the Stars?
The Inner Game of Tennis
The Plant Paradox
The Power of Habit
The Tipping Point
Humility is the New Smart

Parenting

The Whole-Brain Child

The Golden Butterfly Portfolio

Purpose of this article: to share a contrarian investment approach with consistent results that speak for themselves.

Bullet Point Summary

  • The Golden Butterfly Portfolio is built as an extension of the Permanent Portfolio
  • The Permanent Portfolio selects assets that perform in four distinct economic realities:
    1. Choose stocks to capture returns during economic Prosperity
    2. Choose cash & short-term treasuries to capture returns during economic Recession
    3. Choose gold to capture returns during periods of economic Inflation
    4. Choose long-term treasuries to capture returns during periods of economic Deflation
  • The Golden Butterfly Portfolio is more aggressive than the Permanent Portfolio with a higher allocation placed in stocks.
  • This portfolio protects you and grows your money regardless of what happens in the general global economy and it may be perfect for the “set it and forget it” investor.

Overview

Whether you are a seasoned investor or new to investing, choosing the way you divide your investment up can be a daunting task. Google the word “asset allocation” and you will get over 164 million results. As shown in the following graphic from PIMCO Investment Management, there are five traditional methods to allocate your investments across different assets:

Building the right portfolio to capture long-term returns can feel like an endless exercise in futility. Some of us go at this alone, while others of us leverage money managers and investment advisors. Regardless of the approach, we all hope to end up with enough investment returns to retire comfortably. My hope with this article is to offer you a new and simple asset allocation that helps you set your investments and forget them until retirement.

What Is The Golden Butterfly Portfolio?

In 1998, Harry Browne wrote Fail-Safe Investing where he spelled out his principles for the “Permanent Portfolio.” The underlying thesis to his approach was that four economic conditions have historically occurred at varying frequencies throughout the years. By allocating investments in equal weights across stocks, bonds, cash, and gold, Browne theorized that his Permanent Portfolio would perform well regardless of the changing economic conditions.

The Golden Butterfly is essentially a more aggressive version of Browne’s Permanent Portfolio. Under the Golden Butterfly Portfolio, the exposure to stocks is increased from 25% to 40% while the exposure to Treasury bonds, cash, and gold are reduced from 25% to 20% respectively. The following chart details the differences between the Permanent Portfolio and the Golden Butterfly Portfolio:

By allocating your investments this way, you can take a more neutral outlook on a given economic condition. This investment approach grows your money no matter way the future holds.

How Does The Golden Butterfly Portfolio Stack Up Over Time?

The following performance comparison is through September 30, 2020:

As you can see from the above, the clear winner has been the 80/20 stock-to-bond allocation which returned +11.81% over the last 10 years. But it is important to note that over the past 10 years, the economic conditions have been categorically Boom/Prosperity and the stock market has been on an unprecedented run. Thus portfolios with more exposure to stocks have done better over the past 10 years, than portfolios with less exposure to stocks.

Both the 80/20 stock-to-bond allocation and the 60/40 stock-to-bond allocations have more stock exposure than the Permanent Portfolio (only has 25% stock exposure) and the Golden Butterfly Portfolio (only has 40% stock exposure). And as such, they have performed better overall than both of those portfolios. It’s important to note though that investing in stocks carries more risk than investing in bonds or gold.

By investing in the Golden Butterfly Portfolio, you are giving yourself a chance to grow your money as seen in the +7.89% over the past 10 years. And you are doing so in a less risky fashion since only 40% of your portfolio is exposed to stocks. The downside though is in Boom/Prosperity economic conditions, the Golden Butterfly Portfolio underperforms other portfolios with more stock exposure as shown in the graph above.

What is Right for You?

As I mentioned in the beginning of this write up building the right portfolio to capture long-term returns can feel like an endless exercise in futility. But only if you lose site of what you are trying to accomplish. Investors that are interested in setting a portfolio that grows their money while mitigating overall risk will be very interested in the Golden Butterfly portfolio.

While this portfolio sacrifices a lot of the upside of other more aggressive portfolios, it’s simplicity for the average investor or beginning investor outweighs this fact. You should heavily consider investing in the Golden Butterfly Portfolio if you are looking for an asset allocation that is simple and effective at growing your money over the long-term while allowing you to not worry about specific economic conditions.

The Extras…

  • Here is video on how exactly you can build the Golden Butterfly using index funds.
Investment VehicleTickerCategory/SectorEconomic ConditionWeight
iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETFSHYGovernment BondsRecession20%
iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETFTLTGovernment BondsDeflation20%
SPDR Gold TrustGLDPrecious MetalsInflation20%
Vanguard Total Stock Market ETFVTILarge Cap Growth EquitiesBoom/Prosperity20%
iShares S&P SmallCap 600 Value ETFIJSSmall Cap Value EquitiesBoom/Prosperity20%
Total   100%
Direct link to more information on the ETFs to buy to create this portfolio: Golden Butterfly by Lazy Portfolio ETF